Forecasting and simulation in the enterprise II (subject in English) IP-SM3O>FASITE-II

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Term 2021/2022-Z:

The topics of the subject cover issues related to the application in enterprises of methods and tools related to forecasting and simulation of production processes. The purpose of lectures is to discuss methods of demand forecasting of production. Issues related to statistical forecasting and analysis as well as the application of optimization methods and probability theory will be discussed. Various statistical models used for business analysis will be presented. In addition to presenting practical examples, the problem of forecasting will be supplemented with the characteristics of IT tools supporting forecasting.

As part of the project, exemplary various methods supporting the forecasting of the future demand will be presented and projects using these tools will be implemented. The projects will be related to various areas application of demand forecasting using factors which influence demand on the market (price, promotion, seasonality, ...). The project will include exercises related to the application in production practice of various decomposition models of demand and various kinds of input data.

Course coordinators

Luboslav Dulina

Final assessment

Term 2022/2023-L:

(in Polish) Zaliczenie ćwiczeń projektowych wynika z: pozytywnej oceny prezentacji sprawozdań związanych z prognozowaniem i symulacją (różne metody prognozowania). Zaliczenie wykładów wynika z pozytywnej oceny z egzaminu. Oceną końcową będzie średnia arytmetyczna z ocen uzyskanych z ćwiczeń laboratoryjnych oraz egzaminu.

Term 2023/2024-L:

Prerequisites

(in Polish) Brak

Basic literature

(in Polish) 1. Brockwell J. P., Davis R. A. Introduction to Time Series and Forecasting. Springer International Publishing AG. 3rd Edition, 2016. 2. Błaszczuk D.: Wstęp do prognozowania i symulacji. PWN, Warszawa 2006. 3. Cieślak M.: Prognozowanie gospodarcze: metody i zastosowanie. Wyd.4 zm., Wydawnictwa Naukowe PWN, Warszawa 2005.

Supplementary literature

(in Polish) 1. Barteczko K., Bocian A.: Prognozowanie i symulacje gospodarcze: metody, modele, zastosowania. Wydawnictwo Wyższej Szkoły Ekonomicznej, Białystok 2008. 2. Gajda J.B.: Prognozowanie i symulacja a decyzje gospodarcze. Wydawnictwo C.H.Beck, Warszawa 2001. 3. Guzik B.: Wstęp do teorii prognozowania i symulacji. Wydawnictwo Akademii Ekonomicznej, Poznań 2008. 4. Snarska A.: Statystyka, ekonometria, prognozowanie: ćwiczenia z Excelem. Wydawnictwo Placet, Warszawa 2005. 5. Aladog C. H. Advances in Time Series Forecasting. Bentham Science Pub, 2018.

Forecasting and simulation in the enterprise II (subject in English) IP-SM3O>FASITE-II

Course coordinators

<b>Final assessment</b>

<b>Prerequisites</b>

<b>Basic literature</b>

<b>Supplementary literature</b>